
Are droughts, hurricanes, floods and other natural disasters getting stronger and more frequent? Are carbon dioxide emissions, global temperatures and sea levels putting us on a path for climate catastrophe? Bjorn Lomborg, Director of the Copenhagen Consensus Center, breaks down the facts about the environment and shows why the reality of climate change may be very different from what you hear in the media.
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Script:
Carbons emissions are rising—and faster than most scientists predicted.
But many climate-change alarmists seem to claim that all climate change is worse than expected. This ignores that much of the data is actually more encouraging than expected.
Yes, Arctic sea ice is melting faster than the models expected. But models also predicted that Antarctic sea ice would decrease, yet Antarctic sea ice is increasing.
Yes, sea levels are rising, but the rise is not accelerating—if anything, two recent papers, one by Chinese scientists published in January 2014, and the other by U.S. scientists published in May 2013, have shown a small decline in the rate of sea-level increase.
We are often being told that we’re seeing more and more droughts, but a study published in March 2014 in the journal Nature actually shows a decrease in the world’s surface that has been afflicted by droughts since 1982.
Facts like these are important because a one-sided focus on worst-case stories is a poor foundation for sound policies.
Hurricanes are likewise used as an example of things getting worse. But look at the U.S., where we have the best statistics: if we adjust for population and wealth, hurricane damage during the period of 1900-2013 actually decreased slightly.
At the U.N. climate conference in Lima, Peru in December 2014 attendees were told that their countries should cut carbon emissions to avoid future damage from storms like Typhoon Hagupit, which hit the Philippines during the conference, killing at least 21 people and forcing more than a million into shelters. Yet the trend for strong typhoons around the Philippines have actually declined since 1950, according to a study published in 2012 by the Journal of Climate.
Again, we’re told that all things are getting worse, but the facts don’t support this.
This does not mean that global warming is not real, or a problem, but the one-sided story of alarmism makes us lose focus. If we want to help the world’s poor, who are the most threatened by natural disasters, it’s less about cutting carbon emissions than it is about pulling them out of poverty.
The best way to see this is to look at the world’s deaths from natural disasters over time. In the Oxford University database for death rates from floods, extreme temperatures, droughts, and storms, the average in the first part of last century, was more than 130 dead every year per million people. Since then, the death rates have dropped 97 percent to a new low in the 2010s of less than 4 per million.
The dramatic decline is mostly due to economic developments that help nations withstand catastrophes. If you’re rich like Florida, a major hurricane might cause plenty of damage to expensive buildings, but it kills few people and causes only a temporary dent in economic output.
If a similar hurricane hits a poorer country like the Philippines or Guatemala, it kills many more people and can devastate the economy.
So let’s be clear. Climate change is not “worse than we thought.” That doesn’t mean it’s not a reality or not a problem. It is.
But the narrative that the world’s climate is changing from bad to worse is unhelpful alarmism that prevents us from focusing on smart solutions.
Foe the complete script, visit https://www.prageru.com/videos/climate-change-whats-so-alarming
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What's Worse Than a Lie….????? Believing in It….!!!! Perpetrated by Lefty Loons….To Hike More Taxes….!!!!
How would the silver spoon fed RAT PARTY ELITEST kids spend their time if they could not do all their protesting for global warming/ climate change.
7 years later and still waiting for climate alarmists like Brandon to get over their videoconferencing phobia. All a huge leftist hoax.
You forgot to brutally echo chamber this comment section XD
Population…too many people demanding too many things causing too much pollution. Decrease the population, decrease the demand, decrease the pollution.
Its population that needs to be curbed, but who has the guts to say it and implement what needs to be done?
If you take a glass of water and start adding stones the level rises. Sp, isn't it feasible dumping ships, road debris and many other things may be the culprit opposed to the hoax of global warming.
Climate change is cyclical.
Global warming cultists are pagans who foist their damaging superstitions upon us all.
Why is global warming an issue at all? It has been much warmer than today and CO2 has been as much as 20 times higher than today, and those two have never correlated in history.
Don’t we already have the answer to climate change ?
Nuclear
"Everything affects climate change" not just humans. Climate Change is going to be the biggest deflection in history to keep people from asking about the real problems in the world today. Sure, they want us to believe that 87% of scientists today believe humans are responsible for climate change when actually 100% believe we have an impact, but not to the extent the politicians and others want us to believe. It's a huge cash cow for them if they can keep us thinking it will kill us if we don't fix it. Ever notice how interviewers never ask these scientists what the ideal amount of CO2 is needed or ideal to sustain life on Earth? If we all sit in a theatre or university class, the CO2 level will be around 1500ppm to 2000ppm after 3 hours. If the CO2 level gets below 150ppm all insects die, all birds die, all animals die, all plants die, and all humans die. Does no-one notice that the Earth is getting greener because of increased CO2? A greener Earth means more crops and therefore more food to feed the World's hungry. Don't fall for this fake agenda. Climatologists are hypocrites, running around in big vehicles and flying all over the world spewing pollutants into the air we breathe. They should be sailing overseas on wooden sail ships or travelling over land on bicycles to reduce their contribution to CO2 in the atmosphere. The dinosaurs didn't kill the planet and they were much bigger than humans. The CO2 levels have gone up and down for billions of years and they will in the future. The planet will take care of itself.
This video is 7 years old… shouldn't the world be in its last gasps by now??? United States of America has addressed, improved and solved many issues through rational thought, free enterprise, capitalism, strength and innovation, and we should continue on this path also. This current administration and his comrades have only made things overwhelmingly more complicated and worse.
SAVE AMERICA!!! MAGA!!! TRUMP 2024!!!
What's so alarming? NOTHING!
I disagree. Your assumption is that CO2 causes an increase in temperature. It does not. Higher levels of CO2 are a REACTION to higher temperatures. As temperatures rise, the ocean releases CO2. This is a way of encouraging plant growth and thereby decreasing temperatures. When the atmospheric temperatures fall again, the ocean absorbs CO2. CO2 is not an enemy…it is our friend. Plants "inhale" it and then "exhale" oxygen. Good for plants, good for animals.
Instead of sowing alarmism real nature lovers should encourage natural life not substitute it with technological inventions that prove to be harmful to life itself.
Great honest information thank you .
Who is suppressing this real data? My guess is that it is the democratic politicians, environmentalist and the main stream propaganda press.
I like the references and graphs to help understand the massive amounts of data needed to deal with this, but isn’t there a more updated video you can use than one from seven years ago?
Well, done.
The science is what is the matter.
Plants breathe Carbon Dioxide and exhale Oxygen.
They are lying to us.
The Planet is greening.
Finally, realistic view on climate change
A climate scam ,not a climate change……
La,LA la! I can't hear you! I hear only the bad. Lol
Yes, it's getting boring, let's stop that nonsense now.
About 12000 years ago the ice age ended. This was surely the greatest climate change known to "relatively modern" history.
Who was at fault then? No industry, no carbon emissions other than what volcanoes spat out, no people, no airplanes, no cars etc.
Explain that fact first and then come back with all the present CO2, climate and any other scare.
Climate change is a hoax
old data, poor science
I love how everything free thinking climate skeptic in the comments apparently has a science degree
Is it possible that the land is sinking?
This was reasonably good but still mealy mouthed. Climate has always been changing for all the history of this planet. It is no more a “problem “ now than it ever has been. Also humans will NEVER “fix it “. We need to work with it and, free of hysteria, we could. Let’s move to thorium nuclear power for a start. We can also embrace the opportunities. For instance slightly elevated co2 is greening the Sahara, creating a new habitable landmass bigger than Europe. We won’t run out of space or food!
Watching this 8 years later just reveals that Prageru was and is completely wrong about global warming/climate change.
Since the world began there has always been ‘climate change’ and there always will be.
Do some research on the Roman Warming 250 BC – 150 AD,
The Dark Ages 535 AD- 900 AD,
The Medieval Warming 900 AD- 1300 AD
The Little Ice Age 1280 AD – 1850 AD and The 20th Century Warming
Long periods in the Earth’s history where the climate has changed from warm to cold from cold to warm from warm to cold etc.
The sun is the main driving force of climate on Earth and causes these changes and it is a cyclical effect that no one can change, it’s real and it is happening! Man’s Carbon emissions have very little impact on climate change at all, if any! We are all being told a lie that the Earth is going to catch fire and that we will fry or that the Statue of Liberty will be submerged under rising sea levels – the liars need exposing because if they aren’t their Green Policies will bankrupt us all!
I love how everyone in the comment section suddenly has a science degree apparently.
Climate change is a scam
IPCC official Ottmar Edenhofer, speaking in November 2010, advised that: “…one has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. Instead, climate change policy is about how we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth…”
In 1996, former Soviet Union President Mikhail Gorbachev emphasized the importance of using climate alarmism to advance socialist Marxist objectives: “The threat of environmental crisis will be the international disaster key to unlock the New World Order.”
Viktigt att alarmismen avslutar och vi kan diskutera fakta och nödvändiga åtgärder. CO2 styr inte klimatet, det är solen och jordens varierande rörelser. Vi har ingen klimatkris vi har naturliga klimatvariationer sedan miljoner år .
This didn’t age well Antarctic ice reducing at unexpected levels.
Chicken little!!
This is the most well informed and rational argument from the "don't take any action just do more research" camp that I have ever heard. Unfortunately in eight years it has morphed into "it's a plot by the elites" and "burn baby burn".
Boy, that sequence with stick people getting blown away by hurricane winds was very poignant.
Thanks to Elon Musk and D J Trump free expression is returning to the climate narrative. Here in Wisconsin only yesterday ( in geologic time) we were covered with a two mile thick ice sheet. Yes, the climate is warming. The increase in CO2 means that green plants actually require less moisture. Drier climates can still "green" because of this affect. Cold is the killer. Poverty is the killer! This year I plan to install three car on sequestering plants in my yard. Two Maples and a spruce!😊
It is not about the environment, facts, science, statistics or common sense. It is about power, money, relevance and ideology. Start hitting the elephant in the room. There is no anthropogenic accelerating global warming. Start asking who is benefiting from this scam – climate scientists, crony capitalists, rent seekers, politicians (power) and leftist ideologues – the “hey hey ho ho western civ has got to go” crowd,and, above all, China.