Gresham College 
Climate Change is predicted to spark increasing threats to food security and demands for climate reparations, fuelling geopolitical instability.
Probably the greatest risk of all, is tension over solar geo-engineering: the idea of reflecting away sunlight deliberately to modify global climate.
Recognizing solar geo-engineering as an inherently destabilising technology, because any such programme would inevitably be considered liable for bad weather everywhere, and ruling it out, would be very helpful.
This lecture was recorded by Myles Allen on 16th April 2024 at Barnard’s Inn Hall, London
Myles is the Frank Jackson Foundation Professor of the Environment.
He has contributed extensively to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), including as Coordinating Lead Author for the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C. He has published extensively on how human and natural influences on climate contribute to observed climate change and extreme weather risk, and the implications for adaptation and mitigation policy.
The transcript and downloadable versions of the lecture are available from the Gresham College website:
https://www.gresham.ac.uk/watch-now/climate-geopolitics
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About The Author
The only geopolitical risk or threat is from myopic climate policies that induce greater poverty and suffering for humanity.
Your entire argument, the same argument for around 44 years is always about wild hyperbolic speculations of future events that never materialize. Maybe you should start examining the data from actual events that have transpired, proving that warming has been mostly benign, is easily managed and a net benefit for humanity.
Your absurd predictions are tiresome nonsense.
Reparations? For what? Creating the modern world? Not sorry.
Rio Grande do Sul, a not very populous Brazilian state that produces 6.5% of Brazil's GDP, was devastated by an extreme weather event. Some municipalities were completely destroyed, the environmental deregulation carried out by the governor of that state increased the destructive potential of excessive rain. Brazil is in a position to care for the affected population and repair the damage. But if something similar happens in 2 or 3 larger, more populous and economically important states, Brazil will go bankrupt.
As soon as Myles talks about stopping climate change and tipping points, you just know he doesn't understand climate and he's following a set agenda.
No need to listen any more.
The single biggest cause of CO2 is the Sun burning the world's oceans.
Net Zero is a 100% Political Lie. We are still increasing CO2 emissions by 1.5% per year, as we were 40 years ago. I have been counting Governments that have A/ Falsified their Emission Figures and B/ Relaxing their Pledges, Breaking their Laws to combat Climate Change and C/ Project Growth through use of Fossil Fuels.
No actual DATA supports the Falsely claimed Reductions in Emissions. With Highly Functioning Governments there could be Changes made from the Business as Usual. We do not have Highly Functioning Governments. We mainly have squabbling public school children putting all their effort into petty, pathetic name calling, point scoring, and having a NO1 maximum effort in getting elected so as they can have 4 or so more years to sort out absolutely nothing.
Who actually runs Countries? The Political Donors ie Big Business Runs Countries, they pay for Policy, they pay for direction and they pay for influence. In Communist Countries it is "You all work and give us your earnings". The Kingdoms are the same, many billionaire princes and not much else.
Where is the Change going to come from? Scientific communication has failed catastrophically, along with peaceful protest.
Get real people. We are looking at SRM because we are not and will not meet any Net Zero emissions. The real option is War, abandon school, abandon colleges and burn the whole Fossil Fuel business system to the ground. Refineries, Storage Sites, Pipe Lines, Gasoline Stations and keep burning them until Governments get Serious. Because your Children and Grandchildren need a Habitable Planet to live on. The muppet talking in this presentation makes it clear "Whacky Useless Goofball Ideas that no body will fund or implement. This requires you fight for your Planet.
The problem is that you have no understanding of what co2 does or it’s limitation. It’s not the cause of the alleged climate change nor is the increase in co2 as witness via the keelings graph all cause by human activity. Look at the Dansgaurd oeschger oscillations and the wild rose and fall of co2 before man’s intervention.. not that the co2 lead temp rises.. note that the DO oscillations show co2 pulses that go from 180-300ppm and back. Note that co2 isn’t fully locked into the ice until ye have 5000yaers worth of typical Antarctic sown layering at in uncompressed ice it’s free to move and release back into atmosphere.. This under standing equated to another 100ppm missing from ice that existed in the atmosphere thus we can assume that natural co2 rose in pulses over the last 700k yrs to 2”380ppm and the different of 40ppm to get to todays Keeling’s graphic read out is that which is man made.. The facts are that Keelings graph, which measure co2 in Hawaii is able to see seasonal fluctuations in co2 yet it couldn’t detect Covid lockdowns or industrial uptick in 2000 from china and India and when the technical person in charge of the data announced this the IPCC went wild and sacked him.
I'm more worried about the geopolitical consequences of Net Zero – handing power to the main CO2 emitter, communist China.
Climate fraud.
According to NOAA NASA the earth has greened more than 20% since 1970 thanks to the miniscule rise in CO2 levels.
Optimal CO2 levels for vegetation are 3-4 times higher than current levels.
Temperature and CO2 have always risen after each periodical 'little ice age'. Usually 4-5 degrees. Previous little ice age ended around 1870. Did you know they were ice skating on the Thames river London in the 1800's? Also USA: Galveston Bay froze over from Houston to Galveston Island in the 1800s; the ground in Dallas was frozen on Mayday then too, the settlement "La Reunion" had to quit and move into town. Did you know these same 'scientists' were terrified of CO2 levels dropping below 300ppm and an imminent new 'ice age' in the 1970's? (e.g., Balling 1992, Giddens 1999,
Schlesinger 2003, Inhofe 2003, Will 2004,
Michaels 2004, Crichton 2004, Singer and Avery 2007, Horner 2007).
These 'scientists' income is dependent on fear mongering.
There are plenty of honest scientists exposing this fraud but the MSM can't make money if there's no 'drama' to report.
Do a little research. I don't mean 'Google' research, or keep taking your boosters 🙄
Which series of Brass Eye did this episode air? I must have missed it.
As a retired military intelligence officer with a degrees in history and climatology, my worry is civil unrest and war stemming from climate change.
They have already begun. Before the Syrian Civil War, there was a 10 year drought that devastated the Syrian agricultural sector throwing millions into the cities. When the displaced farmers demanded assistance, Assad suppressed the demonstrations leading to the war. Likewise as the Sahara has spread south into the Sahel, the Muslim herdsmen had come into conflict with the Christian farmers.
What will happen as the Himalayan glaciers melt causing more seasonal variation in several major Asian rivers in China and India? It won't be pretty.
Planet Earth is in an Ice Age & getting colder.
does the econmics make any sense? It never made sense even when there was no drama of climate change.Everything is done on the backs of the poor. And now even more so….. I was hopeful about AI until I heard about Lavender.
Total climate grifting garbage
🤑🤑🤑
Follow the money.
… If the US is upset about illegal entries at the Southern Border now, as they should be – due to poverty, gang violence and any number of other social & economic reasons – wait until the heat and humidity – already a genuine problem affect human health – REALLY kicks in !
And ALL of these issues are going to grow in severity in Europe, Northern Asia and the few wealthy parts of Africa. Heat and drought are hardly new issues in many parts of the world, as are flooding events.
It's all real, it's all happening now, and if it hasn't already come to a border near you – give it time, because it will …😓😱💥💦💨🌾🍇🌽🍑⛲⛈🦠🔥… and 💣💥
Is he as worried about the geopolitical risks of migrant invasions? No, he's not. Therefore, this is all just theatre for the gullible open borders crowd.
Climate Wars by Gwynne Dyer for further reading…
All this overcomplicated rubbish is wiped clean just by planting enough trees to soak up the extra CO2 we are producing. bearing in mind CO2 is not the cause of any substantial warming. Many countries are planting millions but the planet is helping itself by greening 20% due to more CO2. that is already accepted science.
Global pollution is the problem, NOT CO2!
DAH this was obvious about Geopoliticals was known in 1970 with 🇺🇸 military with 🇬🇧 since '50's that HAS been done with the people of the world NOT told.
Stratosphere has been injected by 🇬🇧🇺🇸 since '50's because the chemicals in rain and health has proved as cancer and less life span in baby boomers .
Where's the democracy of asking the people on any of these plans ?
Where's the democracy of asking the people on any of these plans ?
Climate Engineering to control weather patterns around the World impacting Global Food Production & Supply should be the major concern on the Climate Change Hysteria & Hoax 😮
This is all Bullsh!t if the world population is not addressed If the African nations and up n coming other states all want Western lifestyles, which they do know about now, and want mostly, then the growth in cities will increase.
Civilization is warming ! Nature,' Madame Gaia,' will adjust us !
Village life was low impact until the numbers of humans and 'prosperity' increased.
I really disliked this lecture. The speaker doesn’t understand the subject. He seems more like a lobbyist for fossil fuel companies than anything else, he’s overly optimistic, minimizes the problems of the climate crisis, and he says modestly too much. 2 degrees isn’t modest. It’s not that simple.
One recommendation that never really comes up in these discussions is the voluntary and permanent reduction of one’s own footprint, with all the (minor) sacrifices that entails. After all it is us as individuals that consume all the stuff. At the moment this seems to be the only viable solution. A l l sacrifices are minor compared to the loss of this unique planet.
But then again: If we really curtailed consumption in any significant way, all of our economies that have been built on the principle of unlimited growth, the more the better, would collapse. Then what?
Honestly, I do not see a way out.
If the rich 10% are responsible for 50% of the emissions, and changing their behavior is not possible in a capitalist global economy, then what’s even the point in policies that change the behavior of the other 90%? It will not be enough anyway?
The tech companies data centres need huge amounts of energy …AI apparently is going to need a phenomenal amount of resources …why is nobody talking about this ?
Trouble is we can’t safely say we’ll let it get to say 2 degrees.
We are entering unknown territory and with all the potential tipping points the further we let it go the greater the risk everything will spiral out of control.
"getting rid of the CO2 is cheaper than going nuclear" – er, but where's the large-scale CO2 capture and/or removal systems? Scaling up from a mgton to several gigtons – which is the task per year, is so far in the distance … might be even farther that building small nuclear reactors (15 years). And I fear the risks of nuclear energy – but probably everything has to stay on the table as options for the next 20 years as the climate emergency starts to really bite. Uncertainty and emerging threats dictate all options should remain possibilities.
So basically he says "I'm not worried about climate change because the efforts at solutions or mitigation wouid be totalitarian and I cannot conceive of any safeguards which would preserve democracy, (or what is really important to me, as an elite professor: the classist status quo, and 'freedom' of the free market) as well as civilization and human life.”
The worldwide campaign against CO2 is a crime against humanity.
More atmospheric CO2 means a greener planet and less world hunger.
The ignorance of scientists about the properties of CO2 is a crime.
Hard to take seriously anyone who is ignorant of the fact that:
15 = Molecular weight of the atmosphere
18 = Molecular weight of H2O
27 = Molecular weight of Aluminum
44 = Molecular weight of CO2
Place a bucket full of water on a hillside.
Drop a chunk of fry ice in it.
What do you see happen?
If CO2 wasn't heavier than water all life on the planet would die.
Diatoms, corals, shrimps and shellfish could not get the CO2 needed to create their calcium carbonate exoskeletons.
Plants would all suffocate.
P*V=n*R*T…… Climate change by CO2 rising? Such bs…..
if you really want to learn something about how the rules are for example so go to the system- theory. Question of: feedback ( positive, negative ) differential equations, phase shift, gain, etc. and you may figure out that we leave in very stable since long time. also no panik and tell all the responsible person that this an important knowledge for al human beens . Thank you that you may realize what’s important to know our so excellent environment….