April 8, 2025

37 thoughts on "Will Climate Change Be the Death of Wheat? || Peter Zeihan"

  1. Several years ago, I did a global scenario for a top-three ag chem company. We saw that the most at-risk crop was corn or maize. It is primarily an animal feed crop but has pretty poor drought and extreme heat tolerance. The stocks still grow, but fruit production drops very rapidly. There have been some GMO seed modifications to develop tolerant crops, but those were put on the back burner to market pesticide tolerance.

    You only have to look at your home state of Iowa to see the yield drops in the several extreme heat droughts over the last 25 years.

    The disruptions from this will hit animal feed supply first and cause potential switches to soybeans. How things play out will depend on soy's resilience and its ability to displace corn as the key animal feed. The net effect will likely be much-changed in the economics of animal meat production.

  2. I love how people just disbelieve something like temperature. It is getting hotter than hell over and over again and at some point you're going to push past both the plant and animal ability to adapt. Whether that is 30 years or 50, we don't know, but it's coming because the trend is unmistakable and we know what is driving it (CO2). The world is going to have to turn to mitigation technologies or wild adaptations, like growing huge amounts of food indoors. If you're not worried you're in denial.

  3. Pete,

    We cut back growing wheat decades ago. Corn is why we can continue farm.

    Could it be it was because of the better financial return on corn and nothing to do with climate change?

  4. The man bun girly scrunchie is clearly too tight, or he is an idiot.

    I have grown food crops from the mild climate of Southern California to the searing heat of Las Vegas, Nevada, and it all can be done successfully.

    Get busy humanity and quit listening to nonsense

  5. During this glaciation D-O cycles caused recurring global warmings of 10 deg C or more in the space of decades, making the current warming very mild historically.
    Long term temps (250 my) average 7 deg C hotter than today, long term Co2 averages around 1500 ppm – more than 3 times higher than the current 420 ppm. And life has thrived!
    You are either ignorant of long term natural climate change or are deliberately withholding it from viewers, either way you are aligned with political science not actual science.
    Climate Change = Natural Variation.

  6. Here in Southern Arizona it is not any hotter than it's ever been but the radiation is out of this world.
    I do regenerative farming on my small plot of land. I grew a "three sisters" using native, drought tolerant seeds. The entire garden died during the rainy season. Other people's crops looked pretty bad also. This should not have happened.
    That giant hole in our Ozone will probably be the death of us.

  7. And the Pope thinks he is God for pulling that off?

    Like the UN which he Holy oversees?

    Using the money of nations to finance his global operation?

    And the racial mix of nations too?

    And the operation of Climate Change?

    And the Two-State Solution?

    And the Final Solution?

    And he selects government elections?

    And the distribution of welfare?

    And the Medical winners and losers?

    And his Democratic kingdom pushes for it, collectively?

    And he rules over all of it?

    And you pay for it?

    (For Joseph.)

  8. The death of wheat will come from new diets like Keto that recognise that carbs are destroying our health. Same thing for seeds oils: canola, soy, cotton seeds, corn, margarines,etc…

  9. This year is not very good in France for cereals, especially wheat. We had too much water and not enough sun.
    That being said, the climate on earth is controlled by the sun, the level of cosmic irradiation, the alignment of the planets, the strength of the terrestrial and solar magnetic fields, … and CO2 is negligible.
    We may be entering a small ice age for a period of 30 years, which will require us to adapt our model. But it is clear that we are going to have tensions on agricultural products. Just look at the soaring prices for certain products, which we see in the West, but which is becoming unbearable in developing countries. Agriculture was strategic, it is becoming even more so today.

  10. Hi Peter people are stating on line that the vacuum created by a incurably ill Vlad Putin, will be perhaps filled by an Oligarch. However what say you about the organized crime bosses and Oligs propping up a new dictator , because Democracy isn't arriving in the the ole Soviet system anytime soon. Wink Wink

  11. Alot time Peter forgets how things work. The price of wheat increases enough; someone will plant wheat. Of course, you will not have what they use to plant.

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