April 6, 2025

42 thoughts on “Was This Really a 1 in 700,000,000,000 Year Event?! – Antarctic sea ice melting fast

  1. Statistical analysis says the chance of the observed low sea ice in 2023 was 1 in 700 BILLION (yes you read that right!), indicating that in this case, the statistics were broken. So, either the limited sea ice records aren't sufficient to model the natural variability, OR it's climate change. What do you think?

  2. 700 billion years. 😂😂😂 We are in an ice. The earth isn't always. It wasn't in the Jurassic. That was The long time ago but far less than 700 billion years ago.

  3. For thousands of years, humans have been evolving through periods of pretty good weather. Since the Industrial Revolution, we've been adding carbon to the atmosphere at an unprecedented rate. Climate change is inevitable. Climate migration is the real problem. It's estimated that about 2 billion people will need to relocate, mainly from South and Central Asia and Africa. We already have xenophobic and irrational resistance to immigrants now. I'm not optimistic.

  4. My first reaction is, 700 BILLION years? The universe began with the Big Bang about 14 billion years ago. The sun formed about 4.6 billion years ago, and the earth began at about that same time. The figure of 700 billion years is derived from the standard deviation of the chance of the 2023 event occurring in any given year.

    However, I can see a climate change denier, firmly grounded in scientific illiteracy and innumerate, saying that this means we need not be concerned about climate change, because it won't happen for another 686 billion years. A once-in-700 billion year event is a good hook for this video, but it can lead to the same little-boy logic as in the witch burning scene in "Monty Python and the Holy Grail." A bit too risky.

  5. If Emperor Penguins co-existed with the dinosaurs, they have experience far, far greater warming than they have seen or will see due to AGW. There was 10c of warming during the Permian-Triassic extinction event. Carbondioxide levels reached over 18,000 ppm. That's FORTY FIVE TIMES the levels of today. This 10c of warming released all the methane tied up in methane hydrates which caused another massive spike in temp.

  6. Check how many tonnes of CO2 have been released by human activities since the Industrial Revolution began a few centuries ago in England.
    Check how long it would take you to count to this amount of tonnes of CO2 , one second per tonne. Then remember that at the same time to the present time, humans were cutting down HUGE AREAS of forests for all the relentless human economic activities that were going on, the trees of which would have absorbed large amounts of CO2, had these forests not been cut down. Also for all of human history, several hundreds of thousands of years, the first 1 billion humans occurred approximately in the 1800's .
    Then in the next approximately 175 years the human population reached 8 billion humans. Look at images of the planet Earth taken from space that clearly shows the thin blue line around the planet that is the Earth's atmosphere, and you will see why the Earth is experiencing such extreme global warming due to the emissions of CO2 due to human activities around planet Earth.

  7. Given that the earth is “Earth is estimated to be 4.54 billion years old, plus or minus about 50 million years” your use of years instead of odds are….pretty odd.

  8. Try to warm a coffee with an ice cube….you can not? Yes, due to the 2nd law of Thermodynamics, the same one that makes impossible to accept the well known pseudo-scientific statement: "The earth is warming due to the GEI, mainly CO2, produced by the anthropocentric action". Climate change? stupid name, because the climate EVER has implicit the CHANGE. Now, go to your actual politician and ask him for a new crisis to be scared. He will invent some in a few minutes…and then he will imposes new taxes to you, to "save you". There are not too many people over the world, but there is too much idiots and intellectual slaves, that is the problem.

  9. Get a life, everyone! For the last more than 30 years at almost every world climate conference some world leader (sic!) has banged the table and said something to the following effect: "Things are not looking good. We are almost at the tipping point of runaway climate change. It's not too late, even now, BUT we must ACT NOW!!" And then somebody else says the exact same thing at the next conference. Here we are 32 years after the Rio Conference and no catastrophe has even come remotely close to happening. One has to wonder when the falsifiability criterion will be considered to have made its mark.

  10. Climate scientist in the 60s: world will be ice free in 10yrs
    Climate scientist in the 70s: world will be ice free in 10yrs
    Climate scientist in the 80s: world will be ice free in 10yrs
    Climate scientist in the 90s: world will be ice free in 10yrs
    Climate scientist in the 2000s: world will be ice free in 10yrs
    Climate scientist in the 2010s: world will be ice free in 10yrs
    Climate scientist in the 2020s: world will be ice free in 10yrs
    Politicians during these times: Im gonna buy a house by the beach
    Theres a trend somewhere in there

  11. Stop all the bullshit and just let the universe and mother nature do what she has been doing for a long, long time and stop listening to these alarmists, scientists and governments, they are all liars and decievers.

  12. I think that humans, by their very nature, are too greedy to stop or even significantly slow the impending disaster. It's probably a long standing cycle. Mankind crawls out of the cave, masters agriculture, forms tribes, or clans, and eventually nations, nations are greedy for territory and resources, and eventually go to war over same. War fuels industrial development, industrialization disrupts society and facilitates the unequal distribution of wealth, which leads to unrest, which leads to division, and divided we fall and fade from the historical and even largely from the archaeological record. Rinse and repeat. Some culture's creation myths acknowledge a series of such cycles — the periodic death and rebirth of the whole of mankind. Some such beliefs hold that we are now nearing the end of the last of those cycles, and after this collapse, some entirely other situation will arise. We (humans) have not been very good stewards for our little blue marble.

Leave a Reply to @roryderbyshire4630 Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *